Fantasy Friday: Week 5
October 3rd, 2008 - 1:00 am
Here’s this week’s look at good and bad fantasy matchups.
Note: I try to pick less obvious players. I’m not going to tell you to play Peyton Manning or LaDainian Tomlinson or Randy Moss. No kiddin’, Sherlock.
Warning: I’m not immune to accidentally suggesting a player that might be injured and out for the week — or even the season. As much as I follow the game, mistakes can happen. If it does happen, just give me a polite jab and I’ll correct myself.
The following players should have favorable matchups this week. Their chances of success are greater due to tendencies by the opponent’s defense.
Brian Griese, TB vs. Denver
Denver is second-to-last against the pass and they always seem to get into shootouts.
Jon Kitna, Det vs. Chicago
Kitna got banged up last week, but had the bye week to recuperate. Assuming he plays, he could feast on an injured Bears secondary.
Other favorable matchups: Philip Rivers, SD vs. Miami, Eli Manning, NYG vs. Seattle, Kyle Orton, Chi vs. Detroit.
Matt Forte, Chi vs. Detroit
Forte is sixth in the league in rushing and he faces a Detroit defense that has given up 200 yards per game on the ground.
Michael Turner, Atl vs. Green Bay
Aaron Rodgers is banged up which means the Packers defense could get tired from being on the field too long. Their defense is 26th against the run, anyway.
Other favorable matchups: Panthers RBs, Car vs. Kansas City, Felix Jones, Dal vs. Cincinnati, Earnest Graham, TB vs. Denver.
Ike Hilliard, TB vs. Denver
Hilliard has quietly had a pretty good year and the Broncos give up 284 receiving yards per game.
Bernard Berrian, Min vs. New Orleans
I feel this could be Berrian’s breakout game with the vikings. The Saints are a high-powered offense, which means the Vikings will be forced to throw the ball and the Saints are 29th against the pass.
Other favorable matchups: Lions WRs, Det vs. Chicago, Amani Toomer, NYG vs. Seattle, Vincent Jackson, SD vs. Miami.
Anthony Fasano, Mia vs. San Diego
The Chargers are worst in the league in receiving yards allowed and Fasano is Miami’s top receiving threat.
Tony Scheffler, Den vs. Tampa Bay
Scheffler could have a big game in a high-scoring shootout.
Other favorable matchups: Heath Miller, Pit vs. Jacksonville, Greg Olsen, Chi vs. Detroit, Visanthe Shiancoe, Min vs. New Orleans.
John Kasay, Car vs. Kansas City
Kasay is a perfect 8-8 this season and should get plenty of chances against the Chiefs.
Robbie Gould, Chi vs. Detroit
Detroit has arguably the worst defense in the league, which means the Bears should be able to move the ball downfield and get into field goal range.
Other favorable matchups: Stephen Gostkowski, NE vs. SF, David Akers, Phi vs. Washington, Mason Crosby, GB vs. Atlanta.
Philadelphia Eagles, Phi vs. Washington
There’s no reason you should play the Eagles defense with the amount of sacks they register and because they’re 7th in the league in defensive scoring.
Carolina Panthers, Car vs. Kansas City
Kansas City has one of the lowest scoring offenses in the league and the Panthers should contain the Chiefs.
Other favorable matchups: Tennessee Titans, Ten vs. Baltimore, Pittsburgh Steelers, Pit vs. Jacksonville, Baltimore Ravens, Bal vs. Tennessee.
The following players should have unfavorable matchups this week. Their chances of success are worse due to tendencies by the opponent’s defense.
David Garrard, Jac vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is third in the league against the pass and should make life rough for Garrad.
Matt Hasselbeck, Sea vs. NY Giants
Hasselbeck will face a tough Giants pass defense on the road.
Other unfavorable matchups: Kerry Collins vs. Baltimore, Jason Campbell vs. Philadelphia, Kurt Warner vs. Buffalo.
Clinton Portis, Was vs. Philadelphia
Simply put: 53 rushing yards per game and a 2.6 yards-per-carry average allowed by the Eagles.
Rudi Johnson, Det vs. Chicago
The Bears are 6th in the league at stopping the run; not a good opponent for Johnson to make his first start as a Lion against.
Other unfavorable matchups: Titans RBs vs Baltimore, Julius Jones vs. NY Giants, Ravens RBs vs. Tennessee.
Patrick Crayton, Dal vs. Cincinnati
The Bengals are third in the league in fewest receiving yards allowed.
Dwayne Bowe, KC vs. Carolina
Bowe has been a steady play all year, but the Panthers are 7th in the league against the pass, 4th in receiving yards allowed.
Other unfavorable matchups: Marvin Harrison vs. Houston, Matt Jones vs. Pittsburgh, Justin Gage vs. Baltimore.
Bo Scaife, Ten vs. Baltimore
Scaife is the top receiving threat for the Titans, but he doesn’t have a good matchup against the Ravens this week.
John Carlson, Sea vs. NY Giants
Similarly to Scaife, Carlson is the Seahawks top receiver, but according to reports, both Bobby Engram and Deion Branch may make their season debuts against the Giants. Plus, the Giants are tough against the pass, too.
Other unfavorable matchups: Todd Heap vs. Tennessee, Vernon Davis vs. New England, Chris Cooley vs. Philadelphia.
Neil Rackers, Ari vs. Buffalo
Rackers only has 5 field goals this year, tied for 22nd in the league. The Bills have a solid defense.
Nick Folk, Dal vs. Cincinnati
A Pro Bowler last year, Folk hasn’t had many opportunities to kick field goals this year. Cincinnati’s defense may only allow him to attempt extra points.
Other unfavorable matchups: Joe Nedney vs. New England, Kris Brown vs. Indianapolis, John Carney vs. Seattle.
Denver Broncos, Den vs. Tampa Bay
The Broncos are giving up 29 points and 408 yards per game.
Seattle Seahawks, Sea vs. NY Giants
Even without Plaxico Burress, the Giants should have success moving the ball against the Seahawks.
Other unfavorable matchups: Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Denver.