2010 Weekly Predictions: Week 7

October 22nd, 2010 - 1:33 pm

I had a much better record in Week 6 following a couple of average weeks before that so I feel better about my predictions. I picked the correct margin of victory for the Texans over the Chiefs and the Patriots over the Ravens and also picked the correct number of points scored for Minnesota and Miami.

Point spreads come from Vegas.com as of Friday morning.

Last Week: 10-4
Last Week against the spread: 7-5-1

This Week: 9-5
This Week against the spread: 7-7

Overall: 63-41
Overall against the spread: 54-45-4

Cleveland Browns (1-5) at New Orleans Saints (4-2)
The Saints have the No. 8 offense and homefield advantage. The Browns have the No. 23 defense and a rookie quarterback starting. Saints win easy here. I’m hesitant in laying points on a double-digit spread, but they covered last week.
Prediction: New Orleans 27, Cleveland 10
Actual Score: Cleveland 30, New Orleans 17
Spread Pick: New Orleans -13
Actual Score: Cleveland 30, New Orleans 17

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-2)
The Jaguars looked awful last week and are coming off a short week after playing on Monday night. I like the Chiefs run game in this matchup.
Prediction: Kansas City 24, Jacksonville 17
Actual Score: Kansas City 42, Jacksonville 20
Spread Pick: Jacksonville +9
Actual Score: Kansas City 42, Jacksonville 20

Washington Redskins (3-3) at Chicago Bears (4-2)
The Redskins have the NFL’s worst defense statistically, but stats can often lie. When the Bears lost to the Giants, I wasn’t that surprised by the outcome (although I didn’t expect nine sacks in one half). However, when the Bears lost last week to the Seahawks (a team they should have beaten), it made me more cautious. I don’t like the Bears chances in this one if they can’t get after McNabb or generate turnovers.
Prediction: Washington 20, Chicago 17
Actual Score: Washington 17, Chicago 14
Spread Pick: Washington +2 1/2
Actual Score: Washington 17, Chicago 14

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1) at Miami Dolphins (3-2)
The Dolphins are coming off a big victory over the Packers last week but the Steelers are one of the best teams in the league and are rolling with too much momentum right now.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 23, Miami 17
Actual Score: Pittsburgh 23, Miami 22
Spread Pick: Pittsburgh -3
Actual Score: Pittsburgh 23, Miami 22

Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at Atlanta Falcons (4-2)
The Bengals are coming off their bye and had two weeks to prepare for the Falcons, but I don’t think Atlanta loses this one at home. It could be close, though.
Prediction: Atlanta 21, Cincinnati 17
Actual Score: Atlanta 39, Cincinnati 32
Spread Pick: Atlanta -3 1/2
Actual Score: Atlanta 39, Cincinnati 32

St. Louis Rams (3-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2)
I don’t know which team having three wins at this point in the season is more baffling. Tampa Bay has the league’s second-worst run defense. I like Sam Bradford’s gang here.
Prediction: St. Louis 20, Tampa Bay 17
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 18, St. Louis 17
Spread Pick: St. Louis +3
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 18, St. Louis 17

Buffalo Bills (0-5) at Baltimore Ravens (4-2)
I don’t think this one will be very close. The Ravens should physically impose their will on the winless Bills.
Prediction: Baltimore 24, Buffalo 10
Actual Score: Baltimore 37, Buffalo 34
Spread Pick: Baltimore -13 1/2
Actual Score: Baltimore 37, Buffalo 34

San Francisco 49ers (1-5) at Carolina Panthers (0-5)
There’s a whole lot of bad here. The 49ers have mostly underachieved, though, while the Panthers are just flat out bad. I think the 49ers’ defense gets the job done.
Prediction: San Francisco 17, Carolina 13
Actual Score: Carolina 23, San Francisco 20
Spread Pick: San Francisco -3
Actual Score: Carolina 23, San Francisco 20

Philadelphia Eagles (4-2) at Tennessee Titans (4-2)
This is one of the most interesting games of the week. I still don’t have a high opinion of Kevin Kolb despite how well he’s played lately. The Titans don’t have a very good pass defense so he could have another big week, but the Philly defense is in the bottom third of the league against the run.
Prediction: Tennessee 23, Philadelphia 20
Actual Score: Tennessee 37, Philadelphia 19
Spread Pick: Tennessee -3 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Tennessee 37, Philadelphia 19

Arizona Cardinals (3-2) at Seattle Seahawks (3-2)
What a rousing matchup this should be for the division lead in the NFC West (I’m using sarcasm there, obviously). The Seahawks just beat the Bears, so I can’t be too harsh, but these are both mediocre football teams. I think I’m leaning Seahawks here, mostly because of their momentum and homefield advantage.
Prediction: Seattle 23, Arizona 17
Actual Score: Seattle 22, Arizona 10
Spread Pick: Seattle -6 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Seattle 22, Arizona 10

Oakland Raiders (2-4) at Denver Broncos (2-4)
The Raiders have the No. 8 pass defense so they match up pretty well with the Broncos’ offense, but I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up on the scoreboard.
Prediction: Denver 24, Oakland 20
Actual Score: Oakland 59, Denver 14
Spread Pick: Oakland +8
Actual Score: Oakland 59, Denver 14

New England Patriots (4-1) at San Diego Chargers (2-4)
The Chargers are usually tough at home but they’ve been so bad this year that I have little to no faith left in them. I like the Patriots on the road despite the fact that the Chargers have the No. 1 offense and No. 1 defense.
Prediction: New England 27, San Diego 24
Actual Score: New England 23, San Diego 20
Spread Pick: New England +2 1/2
Actual Score: New England 23, San Diego 20

Minnesota Vikings (2-3) at Green Bay Packers (3-3)
Brett Favre returns to Green Bay for what should be (right?) the final time. Favre had great success against his former team last year, but then again Favre succeeded against just about everybody last year. This year the Vikings are struggling. The Vikings should be able to run the ball as the Packers are No. 21 in the league against the run. I think Minnesota gets the upset.
Prediction: Minnesota 20, Green Bay 17
Actual Score: Green Bay 28, Minnesota 24
Spread Pick: Minnesota +2 1/2
Actual Score: Green Bay 28, Minnesota 24

New York Giants (4-2) at Dallas Cowboys (1-4)
I like NFC East battles and this one should be a good one despite the Cowboys’ woes this year. The Cowboys have a solid defense statistically but the Giants have the No. 2 pass defense and could give Tony Romo fits. I like the road team in this one.
Prediction: NY Giants 23, Dallas 20
Actual Score: NY Giants 41, Dallas 35
Spread Pick: NY Giants +3
Actual Score: NY Giants 41, Dallas 35

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