2010 Weekly Predictions: Week 8

October 30th, 2010 - 11:58 am

I went against my better judgment last week and laid big points on two games and looked foolish in both of them. One was the Saints-Browns game and the other was the Ravens-Bills game. I also missed on my Vikings upset pick and the Raiders blowout of the Broncos was far from expected.

Point spreads come from Vegas.com as of Saturday morning.

Last Week: 9-5
Last Week against the spread: 7-7

This Week: 8-5
This Week against the spread: 5-8

Overall: 71-46
Overall against the spread: 59-53-4

Denver Broncos (2-5) at San Francisco 49ers (1-6)
I think if the Broncos were playing just about any other team in the league but the 49ers, I’d pick against them this week. But San Francisco has been so bad this year that I think Denver can rebound from last week’s disaster against Oakland.
Prediction: Denver 21, San Francisco 13
Actual Score: San Francisco 24, Denver 16
Spread Pick: Denver +2
Actual Score: San Francisco 24, Denver 16

Miami Dolphins (3-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)
Cincinnati has the No. 8 offense and Miami has the No. 10 defense, so that matchup is where this game will be won or lost. I’m going to give the edge to the home team.
Prediction: Cincinnati 23, Miami 21
Actual Score: Miami 22, Cincinnati 14
Spread Pick: Cincinnati -1 1/2
Actual Score: Miami 22, Cincinnati 14

Washington Redskins (4-3) at Detroit Lions (1-5)
Detroit has the No. 7 passing offense in the league, surprisingly, and the Redskins have the second-worst pass defense. The key is whether or not the Lions’ No. 26 defense can stop the Redskins. The Lions had a bye week last week to prepare for this game, so I’m going to go with them.
Prediction: Detroit 21, Washington 20
Actual Score: Detroit 37, Washington 25
Spread Pick: Washington +2 1/2
Actual Score: Detroit 37, Washington 25

Carolina Panthers (1-5) at St. Louis Rams (3-4)
The Panthers are a bad football team and I like the way the Rams have played this season.
Prediction: St. Louis 20, Carolina 16
Actual Score: St. Louis 20, Carolina 10
Spread Pick: St. Louis -3
Actual Score: St. Louis 20, Carolina 10

Green Bay Packers (4-3) at New York Jets (5-1)
The Packers are already beat up and will face a physical opponent this week on the road. It could get even worse for them.
Prediction: NY Jets 23, Green Bay 20
Actual Score: Green Bay 9, NY Jets 0
Spread Pick: Green Bay +6
Actual Score: Green Bay 9, NY Jets 0

Buffalo Bills (0-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-2)
This seems like quite the mismatch with the Chiefs’ No. 1 rushing offense against the Bills No. 32 run defense. The Bills had some success through the air against the Ravens last week and nearly picked up the upset, so this game could be close as the Chiefs are not good against the pass.
Prediction: Kansas City 30, Buffalo 20
Actual Score: Kansas City 13, Buffalo 10
Spread Pick: Kansas City -7 1/2
Actual Score: Kansas City 13, Buffalo 10

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4) at Dallas Cowboys (1-5)
This has got to be a game the Cowboys can win, even without Tony Romo. The Jaguars have one of the league’s worst offenses and the Cowboys’ defense ranks in the Top 10.
Prediction: Dallas 24, Jacksonville 21
Actual Score: Jacksonville 35, Dallas 17
Spread Pick: Jacksonville +6 1/2
Actual Score: Jacksonville 35, Dallas 17

Tennessee Titans (5-2) at San Diego Chargers (2-5)
The Chargers have not been the typical team we’ve come to know the last few years. What’s strange is that they have the best offense and defense — at least yardage-wise — in the league and yet they only have two wins. I have a feeling this is their week to rebound as the Titans don’t defend the pass well.
Prediction: San Diego 27, Tennessee 24
Actual Score: San Diego 33, Tennessee 25
Spread Pick: Tennessee +3 1/2
Actual Score: San Diego 33, Tennessee 25

Minnesota Vikings (2-4) at New England Patriots (5-1)
Brett Favre’s iron man streak just might come to an end this week. I won’t believe it, of course, until I see it. But with or without the dirty old pervert, I don’t think the Vikings could upset one of the best teams in football on the road.
Prediction: New England 24, Minnesota 17
Actual Score: New England 28, Minnesota 18
Spread Pick: New England -6
Actual Score: New England 28, Minnesota 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) at Arizona Cardinals (3-3)
Tampa Bay has been an interesting story this season with the league’s No. 6 pass defense and the play of quarterback Josh Freeman. The Cardinals have the worst offense in the league, statistically. What’s ironic is that both these teams have scored the same amount of points this year. I think Tampa’s defense gets the job done.
Prediction: Tampa Bay 21, Arizona 20
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 38, Arizona 35
Spread Pick: Tampa Bay +3
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 38, Arizona 35

Seattle Seahawks (4-2) at Oakland Raiders (3-4)
This should be an interesting matchup. Both teams are riding high from their victories last week. The Raiders have the No. 3 rushing offense and the Seahawks have the No. 2 run defense, so that will be the key matchup in this one. Oakland has a good pass defense and I think Seattle will have some trouble moving the ball.
Prediction: Oakland 24, Seattle 23
Actual Score: Oakland 33, Seattle 3
Spread Pick: Seattle +2
Actual Score: Oakland 33, Seattle 3

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-3)
It seems logical that if the Saints can lose at home to the lowly Browns, that one of the best teams in football could knock them off, too. Both of these teams have Top 5 defenses. I like the Steelers to grab the road upset.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 21, New Orleans 17
Actual Score: New Orleans 20, Pittsburgh 10
Spread Pick: Pittsburgh +1
Actual Score: New Orleans 20, Pittsburgh 10

Houston Texans (4-2) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2)
This is one of the few Monday night games I’m looking forward to after what Houston did to Indianapolis in the season opener. The Colts let up 231 rushing yards to Arian Foster in that game and I’m expecting the Colts to put forth a better defensive effort. I think Peyton Manning will help the Colts get the job done with a great game.
Prediction: Indianapolis 27, Houston 23
Actual Score: Indianapolis 30, Houston 17
Spread Pick: Houston +5 1/2
Actual Score: Indianapolis 30, Houston 17

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