2010 Weekly Predictions: Week 9

November 5th, 2010 - 1:01 pm

Rough week against the spread last week. San Diego, Detroit, Oakland, and Indianapolis recorded bigger victories than I had anticipated, New Orleans’ victory over Pittsburgh was a surprise to me, and Buffalo once again took an opponent into overtime. I was also surprised by the Packers’ shutout victory over the Jets and the 49ers’ London victory over the Broncos.

Point spreads come from Vegas.com as of Friday afternoon.

Last Week: 8-5
Last Week against the spread: 5-8

This Week: 11-2
This Week against the spread: 10-2-1

Overall: 82-48
Overall against the spread: 69-55-5

New York Jets (5-2) at Detroit Lions (2-5)
The Jets had an off week against the Packers this past week and should have things rectified when they head to Detroit. The Lions have some good offensive talent, but I don’t think they’ll be able to handle the Jets’ defense.
Prediction: NY Jets 23, Detroit 17
Actual Score: NY Jets 23, Detroit 20
Spread Pick: NY Jets -4
Actual Score: NY Jets 23, Detroit 20

San Diego Chargers (3-5) at Houston Texans (4-3)
Houston has the worst pass defense in the league and the Chargers are ranked No. 1. Houston runs the ball nicely, but the Chargers are ranked No. 2 defending it. I don’t know how much the Texans can do in this game.
Prediction: San Diego 27, Houston 23
Actual Score: San Diego 29, Houston 23
Spread Pick: San Diego -3
Actual Score: San Diego 29, Houston 23

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-2) at Atlanta Falcons (5-2)
I promised that I’d give the Buccaneers their due credit if they can knock off a real opponent like Atlanta, and I’ll stand by that. Until that happens, I don’t think they’re all that good. Atlanta is tough at home and Tampa Bay has the third-worst run defense.
Prediction: Atlanta 24, Tampa Bay 20
Actual Score: Atlanta 27, Tampa Bay 21
Spread Pick: Tampa Bay +8 1/2
Actual Score: Atlanta 27, Tampa Bay 21

New Orleans Saints (5-3) at Carolina Panthers (1-6)
New Orleans showed us a lot last week in a victory over the Steelers. After figuring some things out on offense, I don’t expect them to have a letdown against the lowly Panthers on the road.
Prediction: New Orleans 21, Carolina 13
Actual Score: New Orleans 34, Carolina 3
Spread Pick: New Orleans -6 1/2
Actual Score: New Orleans 34, Carolina 3

Chicago Bears (4-3) at Buffalo Bills (0-7)
The Bills have taken their last two opponents into overtime only to lose by a field goal. They’re knocking on the door of their first victory and it could come this week. The Bears are clearly a better team, but they’ve proven that they are capable of self-destructing. The Bills don’t rush the passer well, so hopefully Cutler can stay upright. They also have the worst defense against the run, so hopefully Mike Martz will utilize Matt Forte and Chester Taylor en route to a victory in Toronto.
Prediction: Chicago 24, Buffalo 13
Actual Score: Chicago 22, Buffalo 19
Spread Pick: Chicago -3
Actual Score: Chicago 22, Buffalo 19

Arizona Cardinals (3-4) at Minnesota Vikings (2-5)
The Cardinals have the fourth-worst run defense so the Vikings should be able to run the ball and control the clock. The Cardinals also allow 8 points per game more than the Vikings do, so Minnesota should win this one at home.
Prediction: Minnesota 23, Arizona 16
Actual Score: Minnesota 27, Arizona 24
Spread Pick: Arizona +8
Actual Score: Minnesota 27, Arizona 24

New England Patriots (6-1) at Cleveland Browns (2-5)
The Browns had an extra week to prepare for the Patriots but what they really need is some extra talent. Cleveland’s defense is in the bottom half of the league against both the run and the pass and I feel Tom Brady should have a big game.
Prediction: New England 24, Cleveland 13
Actual Score: Cleveland 34, New England 14
Spread Pick: New England -4 1/2
Actual Score: Cleveland 34, New England 14

Miami Dolphins (4-3) at Baltimore Ravens (5-2)
Miami has been a good road team this year, winning all four games they’ve played against Buffalo, Minnesota, Green Bay, and Cincinnati. While I think the Dolphins can move the ball against the Ravens, I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up on the scoreboard.
Prediction: Baltimore 23, Miami 16
Actual Score: Baltimore 26, Miami 10
Spread Pick: Baltimore -5 1/2
Actual Score: Baltimore 26, Miami 10

New York Giants (5-2) at Seattle Seahawks (4-3)
The Seahawks got spanked by the Raiders last week and will be starting Charlie Whitehurst at quarterback this week. The Giants are playing as well as any team in the league right now and should roll to a victory in this one.
Prediction: NY Giants 22, Seattle 13
Actual Score: NY Giants 41, Seattle 7
Spread Pick: NY Giants -7
Actual Score: NY Giants 41, Seattle 7

Indianapolis Colts (5-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-3)
The Eagles play tough at home and their No. 11 pass defense could contain the No. 2 pass offense of the Colts. If the Eagles can run the ball to control the clock and keep the Colts’ offense off the field, they’ll have a shot here. But I think the Colts are just playing too well right now.
Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Philadelphia 21
Actual Score: Philadelphia 26, Indianapolis 24
Spread Pick: Indianapolis +3
Actual Score: Philadelphia 26, Indianapolis 24

Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) at Oakland Raiders (4-4)
Last year this game would have been a joke. This year, it’s for first place in the AFC West at midseason. You’ve got to love NFL parity. Something has rejuvenated the Raiders the past two weeks and I like that streak to continue against their division rival.
Prediction: Oakland 23, Kansas City 20
Actual Score: Oakland 23, Kansas City 20
Spread Pick: Oakland -2 1/2
Actual Score: Oakland 23, Kansas City 20

Dallas Cowboys (1-6) at Green Bay Packers (5-3)
I had this game circled on the calendar before the season because I thought it’d be a good game. Now, it could (and should) be a blowout. The Packers should roll to a big victory here against an ailing Cowboys offense and an overworked defense.
Prediction: Green Bay 24, Dallas 10
Actual Score: Green Bay 45, Dallas 7
Spread Pick: Green Bay -7 1/2
Actual Score: Green Bay 45, Dallas 7

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-5)
This has been a good rivalry the past few years but the Bengals are struggling mightily this year. Despite their road loss to the Saints last week, I think the Steelers bounce back with a road victory against the Bengals. The Bengals defense has played poorly and Pittsburgh’s offense should control the tempo of the game.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 27, Cincinnati 17
Actual Score: Pittsburgh 27, Cincinnati 21
Spread Pick: Pittsburgh -5
Actual Score: Pittsburgh 27, Cincinnati 21