2010 Weekly Predictions: Week 10

November 11th, 2010 - 11:15 am

What a week I had last week! Not only did I correctly predict the exact score of a game — Oakland’s 23-20 win over Kansas City — for the second time this season, but I went 11-2 overall and 10-2-1 against the spread. Needless to say, that will probably be my best week of the season. New England’s loss to Cleveland and Indianapolis’ loss to Philadelphia were my two misses. The Bears’ 3-point victory over Buffalo was my push against the spread.

Full predictions will come out later this week. Point spread for Thursday night’s game comes from Vegas.com as of Thursday afternoon.

Last Week: 11-2
Last Week against the spread: 10-2-1

This Week: 7-7
This Week against the spread: 8-6

Overall: 89-55
Overall against the spread: 77-61-5

Baltimore Ravens (6-2) at Atlanta Falcons (6-2)
The schedule makers did a heck of a job picking this game to open up the slate of Thursday night games. The Falcons are tough to beat at home and possess a solid run game. Baltimore’s run game is not as good as it has been in years past. This could easily be a toss-up game based more on which team commits fewer turnovers and makes more positive plays rather than which team is more talented. I’m going to go with the team I think has the more talent, though, and can probably make more plays.
Prediction: Baltimore 23, Atlanta 20
Actual Score: Atlanta 26, Baltimore 21
Spread Pick: Baltimore +1 1/2
Actual Score: Atlanta 26, Baltimore 21

Detroit Lions (2-6) at Buffalo Bills (0-8)
Buffalo has been on the doorstep of their first victory since their bye week in Week 6. Now they just have to knock down the door. They’ve lost to three above-average teams in a row by just three points and now have a home game against the Lions. They should get the job done this week.
Prediction: Buffalo 27, Detroit 24
Actual Score: Buffalo 14, Detroit 12
Spread Pick: Detroit +3 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Buffalo 14, Detroit 12

Carolina Panthers (1-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-3)
The Panthers are the worst team in the league and the Buccaneers are the best team in the NFC — or so says their coach. The Bucs should be able to ride their run game to a win here.
Prediction: Tampa Bay 21, Carolina 14
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 31, Carolina 16
Spread Pick: Tampa Bay -7 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 31, Carolina 16

Minnesota Vikings (3-5) at Chicago Bears (5-3)
The Vikings may be in a state of disarray but they have enough talent to be a scary football team. The Bears have faced one of the easiest schedules in the league — based on opponents’ records so far — and now will face a tough slate of games starting with the Vikings. Favre may be getting old but he’s not dead yet and I expect him to pick apart the Bears’ secondary en route to a win.
Prediction: Minnesota 20, Chicago 17
Actual Score: Chicago 27, Minnesota 13
Spread Pick: Minnesota -1
Actual Score: Chicago 27, Minnesota 13

Houston Texans (4-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-4)
My gut instinct is to pick the Texans based on the talent they have compared to the Jaguars but they’ve been playing so inconsistently this season that I’ve lost all faith in them. The Texans have the worst pass defense in the league and David Garrard should have a decent game in a win.
Prediction: Jacksonville 24, Houston 20
Actual Score: Jacksonville 31, Houston 24
Spread Pick: Jacksonville -1 1/2
Actual Score: Jacksonville 31, Houston 24

Tennessee Titans (5-3) at Miami Dolphins (4-4)
We’ll get our first look at Randy Moss in a Titans uniform this week and it should be an interesting look for him. I think the addition of him should open things up for Chris Johnson and the Titans will beat the Chad Pennington-led Dolphins.
Prediction: Tennessee 27, Miami 21
Actual Score: Miami 29, Tennessee 17
Spread Pick: Tennessee -1 1/2
Actual Score: Miami 29, Tennessee 17

Cincinnati Bengals (2-6) at Indianapolis Colts (5-3)
The Colts are coming off a disappointing loss to the Eagles while the Bengals lost a close one to Pittsburgh. Peyton Manning is tough to beat at home and I think the Bengals will struggle to keep up in this one.
Prediction: Indianapolis 27, Cincinnati 20
Actual Score: Indianapolis 23, Cincinnati 17
Spread Pick: Indianapolis -7 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Indianapolis 23, Cincinnati 17

New York Jets (6-2) at Cleveland Browns (3-5)
At the beginning of the season, I wouldn’t have thought twice about this game. But the Browns have beaten the Saints and Patriots this year and I have no idea how. The Patriots had issues stopping the run, but the Jets have the league’s No. 4 run defense. I think they pull off the victory.
Prediction: NY Jets 21, Cleveland 17
Actual Score: NY Jets 26, Cleveland 20
Spread Pick: NY Jets -3
Actual Score: NY Jets 26, Cleveland 20

Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) at Denver Broncos (2-6)
Kansas City doesn’t defend the pass too well and Denver is bad against the run, so it’ll be strength against weakness for both offenses in this game. Teams that can’t run the ball or defend it tend to lose games so I’m going to go with the road team here.
Prediction: Kansas City 24, Denver 20
Actual Score: Denver 49, Kansas City 29
Spread Pick: Kansas City -1
Actual Score: Denver 49, Kansas City 29

St. Louis Rams (4-4) at San Francisco 49ers (2-6)
The 49ers have begun to show signs of shaking off the early season rust and they’ll be facing their NFC West-leading division foe for a chance to gain ground in the standings. St. Louis has played well defensively this season and they have a good young quarterback. If the Rams can make the 49ers one-dimensional on offense, they can win this game.
Prediction: St. Louis 20, San Francisco 17
Actual Score: San Francisco 23, St. Louis 20
Spread Pick: St. Louis +6
Actual Score: San Francisco 23, St. Louis 20

Seattle Seahawks (4-4) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5)
Seattle has been a bipolar team this year and got trounced last week with Charlie Whitehurst at quarterback. Matt Hasselbeck was cleared to play this week and I think he’ll give them the boost they need to beat their division rival.
Prediction: Seattle 23, Arizona 21
Actual Score: Seattle 36, Arizona 18
Spread Pick: Seattle +3
Actual Score: Seattle 36, Arizona 18

Dallas Cowboys (1-7) at New York Giants (6-2)
One of the league’s worst teams will face one of the league’s best on the road. I think the Giants pound their rivals and win this one convincingly.
Prediction: NY Giants 28, Dallas 14
Actual Score: Dallas 33, NY Giants 20
Spread Pick: NY Giants -14 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Dallas 33, NY Giants 20

New England Patriots (6-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2)
This should be a great game between two of the league’s best teams. Pittsburgh has the No. 1 run defense but the No. 24 pass defense, so Tom Brady could exploit them. The Patriots, however, have a below-average defense this year. They rank 29th against the pass and 21st against the run. I like Pittsburgh at home.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 23, New England 20
Actual Score: New England 39, Pittsburgh 26
Spread Pick: New England +4 1/2
Actual Score: New England 39, Pittsburgh 26

Philadelphia Eagles (5-3) at Washington Redskins (4-4)
Donovan McNabb’s Redskins got the better of his former team in the first meeting between these two clubs, but I think things will be different this time around. McNabb is having hamstring problems and the Eagles look like a potent team now that Michael Vick is back healthy. I like the road team here.
Prediction: Philadelphia 23, Washington 17
Actual Score: Philadelphia 59, Washington 28
Spread Pick: Philadelphia -3
Actual Score: Philadelphia 59, Washington 28

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