2010 Weekly Predictions: Week 14

December 9th, 2010 - 3:42 pm

I finished with a solid 12-4 record as well as a 12-4 mark against the spread last week. I missed on Jacksonville-Tennessee, Cleveland-Miami, Oakland-San Diego, and Dallas-Indianapolis. The point spreads I missed came from Jacksonville-Tennessee, Chicago-Detroit, Minnesota-Buffalo, and New Orleans-Cincinnati. I’m picking 76% (57-18) over the last five weeks, so let’s see if I can keep it up.

Full predictions will come out later this week. Point spread for Thursday’s game comes from Vegas.com as of Thursday late afternoon.

Last Week: 12-4
Last Week against the spread: 12-4

This Week: 13-3
This Week against the spread: 6-9

Overall: 141-67
Overall against the spread: 113-88-5

Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Tennessee Titans (5-7)
I’m officially off the Indianapolis Colts bandwagon. They’ve lost three in a row, have been decimated by injuries, and Peyton Manning has been struggling more now than at any point in his career — except maybe his rookie season. However, I just can’t pick against them in this one because the Titans have been so pathetic as of late. I don’t think the Titans can score enough points to win.
Prediction: Indianapolis 23, Tennessee 13
Actual Score: Indianapolis 30, Tennessee 28
Spread Pick: Indianapolis -3 1/2
Actual Score: Indianapolis 30, Tennessee 28

Cleveland Browns (5-7) at Buffalo Bills (2-10)
Not a whole lot of interest in this game pitting two of the league’s worst. The Bills are a hard team to figure out. They have just two wins but have also played really well in spurts. I’ll give them the nod at home.
Prediction: Buffalo 20, Cleveland 17
Actual Score: Buffalo 13, Cleveland 6
Spread Pick: Buffalo -1
Actual Score: Buffalo 13, Cleveland 6

Green Bay Packers (8-4) at Detroit Lions (2-10)
The Lions put up a fight against the Bears last week but I don’t expect too much of the same this week. The Packers should prevail.
Prediction: Green Bay 27, Detroit 20
Actual Score: Detroit 7, Green Bay 3
Spread Pick: Green Bay -6 1/2
Actual Score: Detroit 7, Green Bay 3

New York Giants (8-4) at Minnesota Vikings (5-7)
The Vikings are tough at home, but I like the Giants’ chances here as they’ll pound away at the Vikings with the run and take control of the game.
Prediction: NY Giants 24, Minnesota 20
Actual Score: NY Giants 21, Minnesota 3
Spread Pick: NY Giants -3
Actual Score: NY Giants 21, Minnesota 3

Cincinnati Bengals (2-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (9-3)
The Bengals made this a close game a few weeks ago but that was at home. I think the Steelers pound them in their venue.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Cincinnati 17
Actual Score: Pittsburgh 23, Cincinnati 7
Spread Pick: Cincinnati +8 1/2
Actual Score: Pittsburgh 23, Cincinnati 7

Oakland Raiders (6-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (7-5)
It took me 12 weeks, but I’m finally ready to acknowledge the Jaguars as a legitimate playoff contender in the AFC and they have a shot to win the division, too. The Raiders, meanwhile, beat the Chargers last week but have fallen considerably in the past month or so.
Prediction: Jacksonville 24, Oakland 21
Actual Score: Jacksonville 38, Oakland 31
Spread Pick: Oakland +4
Actual Score: Jacksonville 38, Oakland 31

Atlanta Falcons (10-2) at Carolina Panthers (1-11)
The NFC’s best takes on the NFC’s worst — at least by record but maybe by performance, too — and I expect the outcome of the game to reflect that.
Prediction: Atlanta 28, Carolina 16
Actual Score: Atlanta 31, Carolina 10
Spread Pick: Atlanta -7
Actual Score: Atlanta 31, Carolina 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5) at Washington Redskins (5-7)
I like the way Tampa Bay has played this year and Washington’s defense is the worst in the league. I give the edge to the Bucs.
Prediction: Tampa Bay 23, Washington 20
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 17, Washington 16
Spread Pick: Tampa Bay -1 1/2
Actual Score: Tampa Bay 17, Washington 16

St. Louis Rams (6-6) at New Orleans Saints (9-3)
This is a good measuring stick to see how far along this young Rams team is. This much I know: they still have a ways to go to be at the Saints’ level.
Prediction: New Orleans 24, St. Louis 17
Actual Score: New Orleans 31, St. Louis 13
Spread Pick: St. Louis +9
Actual Score: New Orleans 31, St. Louis 13

Seattle Seahawks (6-6) at San Francisco 49ers (4-8)
It’s hard to believe that the 4-8 49ers can still win the division, but that’s the result of a terrible NFC West. I think they take their first step toward making a run at the crown with a divisional victory here.
Prediction: San Francisco 20, Seattle 17
Actual Score: San Francisco 40, Seattle 21
Spread Pick: Seattle +5
Actual Score: San Francisco 40, Seattle 21

New England Patriots (10-2) at Chicago Bears (9-3)
The Bears have won five straight behind a balanced offensive attack and solid defense. What they haven’t won behind is high scoring, save for that Eagles game. I’m not so sure their offense can keep up on the scoreboard with the Patriots no matter how well the defense plays.
Prediction: New England 24, Chicago 20
Actual Score: New England 36, Chicago 7
Spread Pick: New England -3
Actual Score: New England 36, Chicago 7

Miami Dolphins (6-6) at New York Jets (9-3)
The Jets were embarrassed by the Patriots last week and are certainly looking for a rebound. I think they’ll get that this week against a discombobulated Dolphins team.
Prediction: NY Jets 24, Miami 17
Actual Score: Miami 10, NY Jets 6
Spread Pick: NY Jets -5 1/2
Actual Score: Miami 10, NY Jets 6

Denver Broncos (3-9) at Arizona Cardinals (3-9)
Two bad ball clubs here are set to duke it out. The Broncos will have a new coach at the helm and that usually helps the team in the short term. The Broncos are the better football team however inconsistent they may be. I like them on the road.
Prediction: Denver 24, Arizona 21
Actual Score: Arizona 43, Denver 13
Spread Pick: Arizona +4 1/2
Actual Score: Arizona 43, Denver 13

Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) at San Diego Chargers (6-6)
If the Chargers want to make a run at the division title, they have to win this game. With a focus on those implications aided by the friendly confines, I think they knock off the Chiefs.
Prediction: San Diego 27, Kansas City 24
Actual Score: San Diego 31, Kansas City 0
Spread Pick: (no point spread as of Saturday morning)

Philadelphia Eagles (8-4) at Dallas Cowboys (4-8)

The Cowboys may have been playing better since the firing of Wade Phillips, but Michael Vick and the Eagles are just too good and I think Philly pulls off the road win.
Prediction: Philadelphia 27, Dallas 20
Actual Score: Philadelphia 30, Dallas 27
Spread Pick: Philadelphia -3 1/2
Actual Score: Philadelphia 30, Dallas 27

Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Houston Texans (5-7)
The Texans once again are mired in mediocrity and can’t seem to make the playoffs despite plenty of talent. They should keep this game close, but I think the Ravens will pull it off in the end.
Prediction: Baltimore 23, Houston 20
Actual Score: Baltimore 34, Houston 28
Spread Pick: Baltimore -3 (would be a push by my prediction)
Actual Score: Baltimore 34, Houston 28

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